The biggest games of the week, predicted.
Free, every week, no account. The matchups everyone is watching and betting, with our number set against the market's. The remaining 28 predictions open with your email.
Marquee games
Full slate
| Gap vs market | Matchup — every one links to its breakdown | Our model | Market | Model side |
|---|---|---|---|---|
22.9 |
Rice at Notre Dame American Athletic vs FBS Independents |
Notre Dame -21.65 | Notre Dame -44.5 | Rice +44.5 |
15 |
Louisiana Tech at LSU Sun Belt vs SEC |
LSU -20.51 | LSU -35.5 | Louisiana Tech +35.5 |
14.5 |
Louisiana at USC Sun Belt vs Big Ten |
USC -17.03 | USC -31.5 | Louisiana +31.5 |
11.6 |
Southern Miss at Auburn Sun Belt vs SEC |
Auburn -20.93 | Auburn -32.5 | Southern Miss +32.5 |
10.5 |
Oklahoma at Michigan SEC vs Big Ten |
Oklahoma -16.01 | Oklahoma -5.5 | Oklahoma -5.5 |
10.2 |
Oregon at Oklahoma State Big Ten vs Big 12 |
Oregon -13.33 | Oregon -23.5 | Oklahoma State +23.5 |
8.6 |
Georgia Southern at Clemson Sun Belt vs ACC |
Clemson -11.91 | Clemson -20.5 | Georgia Southern +20.5 |
7.3 |
Penn State at Temple Big Ten vs American Athletic |
Penn State -30.76 | Penn State -23.5 | Penn State -23.5 |
6.1 |
UCF at Pittsburgh Big 12 vs ACC |
Pittsburgh -0.91 | Pittsburgh -7 | UCF +7 |
5.9 |
Western Kentucky at Georgia Conference USA vs SEC |
Georgia -34.56 | Georgia -40.5 | Western Kentucky +40.5 |
5.2 |
Tennessee at Georgia Tech SEC vs ACC |
Tennessee -17.72 | Tennessee -12.5 | Tennessee -12.5 |
4.3 |
Ohio State at Texas Big Ten vs SEC |
Ohio State -2.85 | Texas -1.5 | Ohio State +1.5 |
3.9 |
Missouri at Kansas SEC vs Big 12 |
Missouri -9.43 | Missouri -5.5 | Missouri -5.5 |
3.5 |
Iowa State at Iowa Big 12 vs Big Ten |
Iowa -17.52 | Iowa -14 | Iowa -14 |
2.9 |
Arizona at BYU Big 12 vs Big 12 |
BYU -10.40 | BYU -7.5 | BYU -7.5 |
1.5 |
Alabama at Kentucky SEC vs SEC |
Alabama -12.00 | Alabama -10.5 | Alabama -10.5 |
1.2 |
Texas Tech at Oregon State Big 12 vs Pac-12 |
Texas Tech -26.71 | Texas Tech -25.5 | Texas Tech -25.5 |
1 |
Duke at Illinois ACC vs Big Ten |
Illinois -6.96 | Illinois -6 | Illinois -6 |
0.7 |
Arizona State at Texas A&M Big 12 vs SEC |
Texas A&M -15.19 | Texas A&M -14.5 | Texas A&M -14.5 |
0.6 |
Memphis at Boise State American Athletic vs Pac-12 |
Boise State -7.88 | Boise State -8.5 | Memphis +8.5 |
0.2 |
Arkansas at Utah SEC vs Big 12 |
Utah -12.72 | Utah -12.5 | Utah -12.5 |
Showing all 21 free games. Gap is our model's spread minus the market's — bigger gaps are bigger disagreements.
28 more games this week
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Game breakdowns
One article per featured game: the line, the disagreement, and the weather.
Everything above is the model. The picks are the filter.
The predictions on this page are free. Our pick engine keeps only the games where the model has historically been sharpest — most of the board is passed on. Subscribers get that filtered subset with the size we bet on each one, graded in public.
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