Predicted win totals
Predicted record vs win total
The predicted record counts every game the model favors a team to win. The win total is expected wins. It adds up each game's chance of winning, so a team favored in 12 close games lands near 9, not 12. The second number is what sportsbooks price.
Movement
Each row shows the change against my preseason baseline. Week-by-week trend lines appear once a few weeks are graded.
Loading…