The biggest games of the week, predicted.
Free, every week, no account. The matchups everyone is watching and betting, with our number set against the market's. The remaining 42 predictions open with your email.
Marquee games
Full slate
| Gap vs market | Matchup — every one links to its breakdown | Our model | Market | Model side |
|---|---|---|---|---|
14.5 |
Kentucky at Texas A&M SEC vs SEC |
Texas A&M -30.97 | Texas A&M -16.5 | Texas A&M -16.5 |
14.5 |
Purdue at UCLA Big Ten vs Big Ten |
UCLA -29.01 | UCLA -14.5 | UCLA -14.5 |
13 |
Mississippi State at South Carolina SEC vs SEC |
South Carolina -17.00 | South Carolina -4 | South Carolina -4 |
11 |
West Virginia at Virginia Big 12 vs ACC |
Virginia -20.98 | Virginia -10 | Virginia -10 |
9.6 |
Arizona State at Kansas Big 12 vs Big 12 |
Kansas -4.13 | Arizona State -5.5 | Kansas +5.5 |
8.4 |
North Carolina at Clemson ACC vs ACC |
Clemson -11.88 | Clemson -3.5 | Clemson -3.5 |
8.4 |
LSU at Ole Miss SEC vs SEC |
LSU -11.36 | LSU -3 | LSU -3 |
8.2 |
Houston at Texas Tech Big 12 vs Big 12 |
Texas Tech -15.72 | Texas Tech -7.5 | Texas Tech -7.5 |
5.6 |
Georgia at Arkansas SEC vs SEC |
Georgia -31.07 | Georgia -25.5 | Georgia -25.5 |
5.1 |
Florida State at Alabama ACC vs SEC |
Alabama -25.61 | Alabama -20.5 | Alabama -20.5 |
3.2 |
USC at Rutgers Big Ten vs Big Ten |
USC -26.66 | USC -23.5 | USC -23.5 |
3.1 |
SMU at Louisville ACC vs ACC |
SMU -1.57 | Louisville -1.5 | SMU +1.5 |
1.8 |
Virginia Tech at Maryland ACC vs Big Ten |
Virginia Tech -1.22 | Virginia Tech -3 | Maryland +3 |
1.1 |
Michigan State at Notre Dame Big Ten vs FBS Independents |
Notre Dame -30.64 | Notre Dame -29.5 | Notre Dame -29.5 |
0.3 |
Florida at Auburn SEC vs SEC |
Florida -2.15 | Florida -2.5 | Auburn +2.5 |
Showing all 15 free games. Gap is our model's spread minus the market's — bigger gaps are bigger disagreements.
42 more games this week
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Game breakdowns
One article per featured game: the line, the disagreement, and the weather.
Everything above is the model. The picks are the filter.
The predictions on this page are free. Our pick engine keeps only the games where the model has historically been sharpest — most of the board is passed on. Subscribers get that filtered subset with the size we bet on each one, graded in public.
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