Which Pac-12 team has the best projected record in 2026?

San Diego State has the best projected record in the Pac-12 at 9-2.

Backdoor Cover

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2026 college football · conference outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Pac-12 Football 2026 Predictions

Q: Who will win the Pac-12 in 2026?

Backdoor Cover's model projects San Diego State to win the Pac-12 in 2026, at 69% to take the league.

Backdoor Cover’s model projects San Diego State to win the Pac-12 in 2026, at 69% to take the league.

The model's projected Pac-12 champion is San Diego State (69% to win the league). No projected Playoff team from this conference yet.

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Projected standings & title odds

▲/▼ next to the title odds = change (in points) vs. our preseason projection.

#	Team	Proj. record	Win conf.
1	San Diego State	9-2	69% ▲47
2	Boise State	8-3	29% ▼38
3	Oregon State	5-6	0%
4	Texas State	5-6	0% ▼6
5	Washington State	5-6	1%
6	Colorado State	5-6	0%
7	Fresno State	4-7	0% ▼4
8	Utah State	4-7	0%

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This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

the full Pac-12 title-odds board, the projected 12-team bracket, and week-by-week movement.

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Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

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All 2026 predictions · this week’s games · track record

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