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2026 season · updated Sep 8, 2026

2026 College Football Predictions

Backdoor Cover’s statistical model projects a record and win total for all 138 FBS teams, plus every conference race and the 12-team Playoff — updated weekly as games are played.

Pick a conference or a team below, or jump to the college football playoff bracket.

ACCAmerican AthleticBig 12Big TenConference USAMid-AmericanMountain WestPac-12SECSun Belt
Get a free pick every week

Every FBS team by conference

ACC

Miami 10-2Virginia Tech 9-3Virginia 9-3Pittsburgh 8-4Louisville 8-4Duke 8-4SMU 8-4Florida State 6-6Wake Forest 6-6Syracuse 6-6Georgia Tech 5-7Clemson 5-7North Carolina 5-7NC State 4-8California 3-9Stanford 3-9Boston College 2-10

American Athletic

UTSA 10-2Army 9-3Memphis 8-4South Florida 8-4Navy 8-4Tulsa 8-4Temple 6-6East Carolina 6-6Tulane 5-7North Texas 5-7Florida Atlantic 5-7Rice 4-8UAB 4-8Charlotte 1-11

Big 12

Texas Tech 11-1Kansas State 10-2BYU 10-2Utah 9-3Arizona 9-3Houston 7-5Kansas 7-5UCF 7-5Arizona State 6-6Iowa State 6-6Cincinnati 6-6Baylor 6-6TCU 5-7Oklahoma State 4-8Colorado 3-9West Virginia 3-9

Big Ten

Penn State 11-1Ohio State 11-1Oregon 10-2Indiana 10-2Iowa 9-3USC 8-4Maryland 7-5UCLA 7-5Minnesota 7-5Nebraska 7-5Washington 7-5Michigan 6-6Illinois 6-6Northwestern 6-6Rutgers 4-8Purdue 4-8Michigan State 4-8Wisconsin 3-9

Conference USA

Kennesaw State 10-2Delaware 9-3Jacksonville State 8-4Liberty 7-5Florida International 6-6New Mexico State 6-6Western Kentucky 4-8Sam Houston 4-8Middle Tennessee 3-9Missouri State 2-10

FBS Independents

Notre Dame 11-1UConn 6-6

Mid-American

Toledo 8-4Western Michigan 8-4Buffalo 8-4Miami (OH) 7-5Ohio 6-6Eastern Michigan 6-6Sacramento State 6-6Bowling Green 5-7Central Michigan 4-8Massachusetts 4-8Kent State 3-9Akron 3-9Ball State 2-10

Mountain West

New Mexico 10-2North Dakota State 9-3UNLV 9-3Air Force 9-3Nevada 7-5San José State 5-8Hawai'i 5-7Wyoming 4-8Northern Illinois 3-9UTEP 2-10

Pac-12

San Diego State 9-2Boise State 8-3Oregon State 5-6Texas State 5-6Colorado State 5-6Washington State 5-6Fresno State 4-7Utah State 4-7

SEC

Georgia 11-1LSU 10-2Oklahoma 9-3Texas A&M 9-3Tennessee 9-3Texas 9-3Alabama 8-4Florida 8-4South Carolina 7-5Vanderbilt 6-6Missouri 6-6Ole Miss 5-7Mississippi State 5-7Auburn 5-7Kentucky 4-8Arkansas 3-9

Sun Belt

Louisiana 10-2James Madison 9-3App State 8-4Old Dominion 8-4Louisiana Tech 7-5Georgia Southern 7-5South Alabama 6-6Marshall 6-6Troy 5-7Coastal Carolina 5-7Southern Miss 5-7Arkansas State 4-8Georgia State 3-9UL Monroe 1-11

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks
Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.
The full interactive projections
every team’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.
Full prediction exports
Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.
Your first week guaranteed
If your first paid week loses, the next one is on us.
Get weekly picks $9.99 per week, or $99 for the season

New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.

The record you’re buying into
53–21
ATS since Week 8, 2025
71.6% on the filtered picks

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC