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Pac-12 · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Washington State Football 2026 Season Prediction

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Washington State to finish 5-6 in 2026, with 4.7 expected wins. That’s up 1.0 wins from our preseason number.

0-1
record so far
5-6
projected record
4.7 ▲1.0 vs preseason
win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Washington State to finish 5-6 in 2026, with 4.7 expected wins. The model gives Washington State a 1% chance to win the Pac-12 outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of Washington State’s games right so far this season.

Get a free pick every week

Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

WeekOpponentResult / win prob
Wk 1@ WashingtonLost 10–24
Wk 2@ Kansas State5%
Wk 3vs Duquesne93%
Wk 4vs Arizona12%
Wk 5vs Fresno State71%
Wk 6@ Utah State80%
Wk 7@ Oregon State36%
Wk 8vs Boise State31%
Wk 9@ San Diego State8%
Wk 11vs Colorado State81%
Wk 12@ Texas State46%

Win-total distribution

2 wins
3%
3 wins
13%
4 wins
28%
5 wins
31%
6 wins
18%
7 wins
6%
8 wins
1%

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Washington State has a 8% shot at the Pac-12 title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks
Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.
The full interactive projections
Washington State’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.
Full prediction exports
Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.
Your first week guaranteed
If your first paid week loses, the next one is on us.
Get weekly picks $9.99 per week, or $99 for the season

New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.

The record you’re buying into
53–21
ATS since Week 8, 2025
71.6% on the filtered picks

More: Pac-12 projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC