Washington State Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Washington State to finish 2-9 in 2026, with 2.2 expected wins. Down 1.5 wins from the preseason projection. Washington State makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Washington State a 0% chance to win the Pac-12 outright. The model has picked 7 of 7 Washington State games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Washington State earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Washington State. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sun Sep 6
at WashingtonLost10-24 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
at Kansas StateLost7-34 - Week 3Sat Sep 19
vs DuquesneWon48-7 - Week 4Sat Sep 26
vs ArizonaLost24-34 - Week 5Sat Oct 3
vs Fresno StateLost6-26 - Week 6Fri Oct 9
at Utah StateLost16-17 - Week 7Sat Oct 17
at Oregon StateLost30-48 - Week 8Sat Oct 24
vs Boise StateLost10-31 - Week 9Sat Oct 3145% chance Washington State wins
- Week 11Sat Nov 1458% chance Washington State wins
- Week 12Sat Nov 21
at Texas State13% chance Washington State wins
How many games Washington State wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 2-9 (47% of simulations). Regular season, 11 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 3.7 in the preseason to 2.2 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.