Syracuse Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Syracuse to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 4.5 expected wins. Up 1.4 wins from the preseason projection. Syracuse makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Syracuse a 0% chance to win the ACC outright. The model has picked 3 of 6 Syracuse games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Syracuse earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Syracuse. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5
vs New HampshireWon66-3 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
vs CaliforniaLost18-21 - Week 3Thu Sep 17
at PittsburghLost13-27 - Week 5Sat Oct 3
at UConnWon42-41 - Week 6Sat Oct 10
at VirginiaLost25-28 - Week 7Sat Oct 17
vs LouisvilleLost26-34 - Week 8Sat Oct 24Won31-30
- Week 9Sat Oct 31
vs SMU20% chance Syracuse wins - Week 10Sat Nov 7
vs Clemson48% chance Syracuse wins - Week 11Sat Nov 14
at NC State34% chance Syracuse wins - Week 12Sat Nov 2148% chance Syracuse wins
- Week 13Sat Nov 28
vs Notre Dame5% chance Syracuse wins
How many games Syracuse wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 4-8 (36% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 3.1 in the preseason to 4.5 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.