How many games will UConn win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for UConn is 6.3 wins.

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FBS Independents · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

UConn Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is UConn's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects UConn to finish 6-6 in 2026, about 6.3 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects UConn to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.3 expected wins. That’s up 1.6 wins from our preseason number.

6-6

projected record

6.3 ▲1.6 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects UConn to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.3 expected wins.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Lafayette	93%
Wk 2	vs Maryland	5%
Wk 3	@ Southern Miss	80%
Wk 4	@ Miami (OH)	77%
Wk 5	vs Syracuse	22%
Wk 6	@ Temple	19%
Wk 8	vs Massachusetts	99%
Wk 9	@ Air Force	16%
Wk 10	vs North Carolina	10%
Wk 11	vs James Madison	51%
Wk 12	vs Old Dominion	66%
Wk 13	@ Wyoming	88%

Win-total distribution

3 wins

4 wins

5 wins

19%

6 wins

31%

7 wins

27%

8 wins

12%

9 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

UConn’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: FBS Independents · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

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