Notre Dame Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Notre Dame to finish 11-1 in 2026, with 11.4 expected wins.
Our statistical model projects Notre Dame to finish 11-1 in 2026, with 11.4 expected wins.
Model called 1 of 1 of Notre Dame’s games right so far this season.
Game-by-game
Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.
| Week | Opponent | Result / win prob |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Wisconsin | Won 41–13 ✓ |
| Wk 2 | vs Rice | 95% |
| Wk 3 | vs Michigan State | 99% |
| Wk 4 | @ Purdue | 95% |
| Wk 5 | @ North Carolina | 94% |
| Wk 6 | vs Stanford | 100% |
| Wk 7 | @ BYU | 84% |
| Wk 9 | @ Navy | 98% |
| Wk 10 | vs Miami | 82% |
| Wk 11 | vs Boston College | 100% |
| Wk 12 | vs SMU | 97% |
| Wk 13 | @ Syracuse | 95% |
Win-total distribution
What subscribers get
Everything above is the free model. The model slots Notre Dame into the 12-team Playoff as a 7-seed. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
More: FBS Independents · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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