Boston College Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Boston College to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.2 expected wins. Up 1.9 wins from the preseason projection. Boston College makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Boston College a 0% chance to win the ACC outright. The model has picked 3 of 6 Boston College games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Boston College earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Boston College. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5
at CincinnatiLost15-34 - Week 2Fri Sep 11
vs RutgersWon28-21 - Week 3Sat Sep 19
vs MaineWon22-16 - Week 4Sat Sep 26Lost14-21
- Week 5Sat Oct 3
at SMULost16-25 - Week 7Sat Oct 17
vs PittsburghWon27-21 - Week 8Sat Oct 24
at Georgia TechWon49-27 - Week 9Sat Oct 31
at Duke18% chance Boston College wins - Week 10Sat Nov 745% chance Boston College wins
- Week 11Sat Nov 14
at Notre Dame3% chance Boston College wins - Week 12Sat Nov 21
vs Syracuse52% chance Boston College wins - Week 13Sat Nov 28
at Miami3% chance Boston College wins
How many games Boston College wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 5-7 (45% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 3.3 in the preseason to 5.2 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.