Mountain West Football 2026 Predictions
Backdoor Cover’s model projects New Mexico to win the Mountain West in 2026, at 58% to take the league.
The model's projected Mountain West champion is New Mexico (58% to win the league). Projected College Football Playoff team(s): New Mexico.
Projected standings & title odds
▲/▼ next to the title odds = change (in points) vs. our preseason projection.
| # | Team | Proj. record | Win conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 10-2 | 58% ▲31 |
| 2 | North Dakota State | 9-3 | 13% ▼5 |
| 3 | UNLV | 9-3 | 8% ▼28 |
| 4 | Air Force | 9-3 | 22% ▲15 |
| 5 | Nevada | 7-5 | 0% |
| 6 | San José State | 5-8 | 0% |
| 7 | Hawai'i | 5-7 | 0% ▼12 |
| 8 | Wyoming | 4-8 | 0% |
| 9 | Northern Illinois | 3-9 | 0% |
| 10 | UTEP | 2-10 | 0% |
What subscribers get
Everything above is the free model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC