Wyoming Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Wyoming to finish 7-5 in 2026, with 6.6 expected wins. Up 1.2 wins from the preseason projection. Wyoming makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Wyoming a 4% chance to win the Mountain West outright. The model has picked 4 of 7 Wyoming games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Wyoming earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Wyoming. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5Lost13-35
- Week 2Sat Sep 12
vs Northern ColoradoWon21-13 - Week 3Sat Sep 19Lost10-24
- Week 4Sat Sep 26
vs Hawai'iWon27-10 - Week 5Sat Oct 3Lost0-28
- Week 6Fri Oct 9Won16-13
- Week 7Sat Oct 17Won41-23
- Week 8Fri Oct 23
vs Air ForceWon28-14 - Week 10Sat Nov 7
at UNLV42% chance Wyoming wins - Week 11Sat Nov 14
at UTEP61% chance Wyoming wins - Week 12Sat Nov 21
vs New Mexico18% chance Wyoming wins - Week 13Sat Nov 28
vs UConn45% chance Wyoming wins
How many games Wyoming wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 7-5 (37% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 5.4 in the preseason to 6.6 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.