How many games will UTEP win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for UTEP is 1.9 wins.

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Mountain West · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

UTEP Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is UTEP's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects UTEP to finish 2-10 in 2026, about 1.9 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects UTEP to finish 2-10 in 2026, with 1.9 expected wins. That’s down 1.3 wins from our preseason number.

0-1

record so far

2-10

projected record

1.9 ▼1.3 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects UTEP to finish 2-10 in 2026, with 1.9 expected wins. The model gives UTEP a 0% chance to win the Mountain West outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of UTEP’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	@ Oklahoma	Lost 0–51 ✓
Wk 2	vs Texas Southern	93%
Wk 3	@ Michigan	1%
Wk 4	vs Oregon State	10%
Wk 5	@ New Mexico	2%
Wk 6	vs Nevada	7%
Wk 7	vs San José State	4%
Wk 9	@ North Dakota State	2%
Wk 10	vs Hawai'i	14%
Wk 11	vs Wyoming	15%
Wk 12	@ Air Force	2%
Wk 13	@ Northern Illinois	36%

Win-total distribution

0 wins

1 wins

35%

2 wins

40%

3 wins

17%

4 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. UTEP has a 0% shot at the Mountain West title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

UTEP’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Mountain West projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.