Delaware Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Delaware to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 5.5 expected wins. Delaware makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Delaware a <1% chance to win the Conference USA outright. The model has picked 6 of 6 Delaware games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Delaware earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Delaware. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Thu Sep 3
vs MerrimackWon42-7 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
at VanderbiltLost26-35 - Week 3Sat Sep 19Won22-14
- Week 4Sat Sep 26
at VirginiaLost3-42 - Week 5Fri Oct 2
vs LibertyLost14-30 - Week 7Tue Oct 13Lost30-33
- Week 8Tue Oct 20Won61-38
- Week 9Tue Oct 27Won35-21
- Week 10Sat Nov 737% chance Delaware wins
- Week 11Sat Nov 1449% chance Delaware wins
- Week 12Sat Nov 2134% chance Delaware wins
- Week 13Sat Nov 2832% chance Delaware wins
How many games Delaware wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 5-7 (37% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 5.5 in the preseason to 5.5 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.