Kennesaw State Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Kennesaw State to finish 4-8 in 2026, with 4.0 expected wins. Down 3.6 wins from the preseason projection. Kennesaw State makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Kennesaw State a 0% chance to win the Conference USA outright. The model has picked 4 of 6 Kennesaw State games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Kennesaw State earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Kennesaw State. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Thu Sep 3
vs West GeorgiaWon47-0 - Week 2Sat Sep 12Lost17-31
- Week 3Sat Sep 19
at TennesseeLost9-42 - Week 4Sat Sep 26Lost14-17
- Week 6Wed Oct 7Lost26-27
- Week 7Wed Oct 14Lost21-24
- Week 8Thu Oct 22
vs LibertyLost6-34 - Week 9Wed Oct 2864% chance Kennesaw State wins
- Week 10Sat Nov 7
vs Delaware63% chance Kennesaw State wins - Week 11Sat Nov 14
at Sam Houston66% chance Kennesaw State wins - Week 12Sat Nov 2152% chance Kennesaw State wins
- Week 13Sat Nov 2853% chance Kennesaw State wins
How many games Kennesaw State wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 4-8 (35% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 7.6 in the preseason to 4.0 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.