Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Jacksonville State to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.8 expected wins. That’s down 0.2 wins from our preseason number.
Our statistical model projects Jacksonville State to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.8 expected wins. The model gives Jacksonville State a 6% chance to win the Conference USA outright.
Model called 2 of 2 of Jacksonville State’s games right so far this season.
Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.
| Week | Opponent | Result / win prob |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ North Dakota State | Lost 7–33 ✓ |
| Wk 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | Lost 7–33 ✓ |
| Wk 2 | @ Ohio | 91% |
| Wk 3 | vs Georgia Southern | 58% |
| Wk 4 | vs Middle Tennessee | 86% |
| Wk 6 | @ Kennesaw State | 17% |
| Wk 7 | vs Florida International | 93% |
| Wk 9 | @ New Mexico State | 60% |
| Wk 10 | vs Sam Houston | 91% |
| Wk 11 | @ Western Kentucky | 76% |
| Wk 12 | vs Missouri State | 97% |
| Wk 13 | @ Delaware | 20% |
Everything above is the free model. Jacksonville State has a 18% shot at the Conference USA title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC