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Conference USA · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Florida International Football 2026 Season Prediction

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Florida International to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.2 expected wins. That’s down 0.3 wins from our preseason number.

0-1
record so far
6-6
projected record
6.2 ▼0.3 vs preseason
win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Florida International to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.2 expected wins. The model gives Florida International a 0% chance to win the Conference USA outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of Florida International’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

WeekOpponentResult / win prob
Wk 1@ South FloridaLost 9–19
Wk 2vs Buffalo95%
Wk 3@ Florida Atlantic17%
Wk 4vs Long Island University93%
Wk 6vs New Mexico State90%
Wk 7@ Jacksonville State7%
Wk 8vs Middle Tennessee88%
Wk 9@ Liberty15%
Wk 10vs Missouri State84%
Wk 11@ Delaware9%
Wk 12@ Kennesaw State18%
Wk 13vs Sam Houston90%

Win-total distribution

3 wins
1%
4 wins
5%
5 wins
19%
6 wins
38%
7 wins
26%
8 wins
9%
9 wins
2%

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Florida International has a 1% shot at the Conference USA title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks
Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.
The full interactive projections
Florida International’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.
Full prediction exports
Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.
Your first week guaranteed
If your first paid week loses, the next one is on us.
Get weekly picks $9.99 per week, or $99 for the season

New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.

The record you’re buying into
53–21
ATS since Week 8, 2025
71.6% on the filtered picks

More: Conference USA projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC