Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Florida International to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.2 expected wins. That’s down 0.3 wins from our preseason number.
Our statistical model projects Florida International to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.2 expected wins. The model gives Florida International a 0% chance to win the Conference USA outright.
Model called 1 of 1 of Florida International’s games right so far this season.
Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.
| Week | Opponent | Result / win prob |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ South Florida | Lost 9–19 ✓ |
| Wk 2 | vs Buffalo | 95% |
| Wk 3 | @ Florida Atlantic | 17% |
| Wk 4 | vs Long Island University | 93% |
| Wk 6 | vs New Mexico State | 90% |
| Wk 7 | @ Jacksonville State | 7% |
| Wk 8 | vs Middle Tennessee | 88% |
| Wk 9 | @ Liberty | 15% |
| Wk 10 | vs Missouri State | 84% |
| Wk 11 | @ Delaware | 9% |
| Wk 12 | @ Kennesaw State | 18% |
| Wk 13 | vs Sam Houston | 90% |
Everything above is the free model. Florida International has a 1% shot at the Conference USA title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC