Florida International Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Florida International to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 5.6 expected wins. Down 0.9 wins from the preseason projection. Florida International makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Florida International a <1% chance to win the Conference USA outright. The model has picked 5 of 6 Florida International games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Florida International earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Florida International. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5Lost9-19
- Week 2Sat Sep 12
vs BuffaloWon33-20 - Week 3Sat Sep 19Lost10-16
- Week 4Sat Sep 26
vs Long Island UniversityWon20-3 - Week 6Wed Oct 7Won22-3
- Week 7Tue Oct 13Lost24-27
- Week 8Tue Oct 20Lost23-26
- Week 9Sat Oct 31
at Liberty18% chance Florida International wins - Week 10Sat Nov 769% chance Florida International wins
- Week 11Sat Nov 14
at Delaware51% chance Florida International wins - Week 12Sat Nov 2148% chance Florida International wins
- Week 13Sat Nov 28
vs Sam Houston74% chance Florida International wins
How many games Florida International wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 6-6 (36% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 6.5 in the preseason to 5.6 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.