How many games will Vanderbilt win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Vanderbilt is 6.3 wins.

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SEC · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Vanderbilt Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Vanderbilt's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Vanderbilt to finish 6-6 in 2026, about 6.3 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Vanderbilt to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.3 expected wins.

6-6

projected record

6.3 even with preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Vanderbilt to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.3 expected wins. The model gives Vanderbilt a 0% chance to win the SEC outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Austin Peay	93%
Wk 2	vs Delaware	82%
Wk 3	vs NC State	91%
Wk 4	@ Auburn	74%
Wk 5	@ Georgia	4%
Wk 6	vs Ole Miss	81%
Wk 7	vs Arkansas	84%
Wk 8	@ Kentucky	33%
Wk 10	@ Mississippi State	30%
Wk 11	vs Alabama	21%
Wk 12	@ Florida	15%
Wk 13	vs Tennessee	19%

Win-total distribution

3 wins

4 wins

5 wins

19%

6 wins

30%

7 wins

26%

8 wins

12%

9 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Vanderbilt has a 0% shot at the SEC title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Vanderbilt’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: SEC projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.