Middle Tennessee Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Middle Tennessee to finish 3-9 in 2026, with 3.0 expected wins.
Our statistical model projects Middle Tennessee to finish 3-9 in 2026, with 3.0 expected wins. The model gives Middle Tennessee a 0% chance to win the Conference USA outright.
Game-by-game
Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.
| Week | Opponent | Result / win prob |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Murray State | 93% |
| Wk 2 | @ Marshall | 21% |
| Wk 3 | vs Nevada | 16% |
| Wk 4 | @ Jacksonville State | 14% |
| Wk 5 | @ Kansas | 4% |
| Wk 7 | vs Delaware | 5% |
| Wk 8 | @ Florida International | 12% |
| Wk 9 | vs Kennesaw State | 5% |
| Wk 10 | vs Western Kentucky | 42% |
| Wk 11 | @ Liberty | 28% |
| Wk 12 | @ Sam Houston | 17% |
| Wk 13 | vs New Mexico State | 40% |
Win-total distribution
What subscribers get
Everything above is the free model. Middle Tennessee has a 0% shot at the Conference USA title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC