Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Coastal Carolina to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.1 expected wins. That’s down 0.4 wins from our preseason number.
Our statistical model projects Coastal Carolina to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.1 expected wins. The model gives Coastal Carolina a 0% chance to win the Sun Belt outright.
Model called 1 of 1 of Coastal Carolina’s games right so far this season.
Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.
| Week | Opponent | Result / win prob |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ West Virginia | Lost 24–31 ✓ |
| Wk 2 | vs Fordham | 93% |
| Wk 3 | @ Delaware | 28% |
| Wk 4 | vs Liberty | 42% |
| Wk 5 | vs Georgia Southern | 28% |
| Wk 6 | @ Marshall | 68% |
| Wk 7 | vs App State | 18% |
| Wk 9 | @ Georgia State | 83% |
| Wk 10 | vs Old Dominion | 18% |
| Wk 11 | vs Arkansas State | 83% |
| Wk 12 | @ Louisiana | 14% |
| Wk 13 | @ James Madison | 14% |
Everything above is the free model. Coastal Carolina has a 0% shot at the Sun Belt title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC