Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Old Dominion to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.5 expected wins.
Our statistical model projects Old Dominion to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.5 expected wins. The model gives Old Dominion a 7% chance to win the Sun Belt outright.
Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.
| Week | Opponent | Result / win prob |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Norfolk State | 93% |
| Wk 2 | @ Virginia Tech | 7% |
| Wk 3 | vs East Carolina | 71% |
| Wk 4 | vs James Madison | 47% |
| Wk 5 | @ Georgia State | 93% |
| Wk 6 | @ App State | 24% |
| Wk 7 | vs Georgia Southern | 83% |
| Wk 8 | @ Louisiana Tech | 38% |
| Wk 9 | vs Marshall | 96% |
| Wk 10 | @ Coastal Carolina | 82% |
| Wk 12 | @ UConn | 34% |
| Wk 13 | vs Southern Miss | 87% |
Everything above is the free model. Old Dominion has a 16% shot at the Sun Belt title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC