How many games will Marshall win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Marshall is 5.6 wins.

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Sun Belt · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Marshall Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Marshall's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Marshall to finish 6-6 in 2026, about 5.6 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Marshall to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 5.6 expected wins. That’s down 1.7 wins from our preseason number.

0-1

record so far

6-6

projected record

5.6 ▼1.7 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Marshall to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 5.6 expected wins. The model gives Marshall a 0% chance to win the Sun Belt outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of Marshall’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	@ Penn State	Lost 0–45 ✓
Wk 2	vs Middle Tennessee	79%
Wk 3	@ Missouri State	92%
Wk 4	vs Gardner-Webb	93%
Wk 5	@ James Madison	5%
Wk 6	vs Coastal Carolina	32%
Wk 8	vs South Alabama	47%
Wk 9	@ Old Dominion	4%
Wk 10	@ Georgia Southern	9%
Wk 11	vs App State	26%
Wk 12	vs Georgia State	80%
Wk 13	@ UL Monroe	94%

Win-total distribution

3 wins

4 wins

13%

5 wins

30%

6 wins

32%

7 wins

17%

8 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Marshall has a 0% shot at the Sun Belt title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Marshall’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Sun Belt projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.