How many games will James Madison win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for James Madison is 9.0 wins.

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Sun Belt · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

James Madison Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is James Madison's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects James Madison to finish 9-3 in 2026, about 9.0 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects James Madison to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 9.0 expected wins. That’s down 0.7 wins from our preseason number.

1-0

record so far

9-3

projected record

9.0 ▼0.7 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects James Madison to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 9.0 expected wins. The model gives James Madison a 39% chance to win the Sun Belt outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of James Madison’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Liberty	Won 20–13 ✓
Wk 2	vs Wagner	93%
Wk 3	@ San Diego State	20%
Wk 4	@ Old Dominion	53%
Wk 5	vs Marshall	95%
Wk 6	@ Georgia Southern	74%
Wk 7	vs Georgia State	94%
Wk 8	@ App State	68%
Wk 9	vs Troy	89%
Wk 10	@ Southern Miss	89%
Wk 11	@ UConn	49%
Wk 13	vs Coastal Carolina	86%

Win-total distribution

6 wins

7 wins

8 wins

21%

9 wins

31%

10 wins

25%

11 wins

10%

12 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. James Madison has a 68% shot at the Sun Belt title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

James Madison’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Sun Belt projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.