Backdoor Cover’s model projects James Madison to win the Sun Belt in 2026, at 39% to take the league.
The model's projected Sun Belt champion is James Madison (39% to win the league). No projected Playoff team from this conference yet.
▲/▼ next to the title odds = change (in points) vs. our preseason projection.
| # | Team | Proj. record | Win conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisiana | 10-2 | 36% ▲33 |
| 2 | James Madison | 9-3 | 39% ▼35 |
| 3 | App State | 8-4 | 2% ▲2 |
| 4 | Old Dominion | 8-4 | 7% ▲2 |
| 5 | Louisiana Tech | 7-5 | 11% ▲8 |
| 6 | Georgia Southern | 7-5 | 4% ▲3 |
| 7 | South Alabama | 6-6 | 0% |
| 8 | Marshall | 6-6 | 0% |
| 9 | Troy | 5-7 | 0% ▼11 |
| 10 | Coastal Carolina | 5-7 | 0% |
| 11 | Southern Miss | 5-7 | 0% |
| 12 | Arkansas State | 4-8 | 0% |
| 13 | Georgia State | 3-9 | 0% |
| 14 | UL Monroe | 1-11 | 0% |
Everything above is the free model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
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Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC