Georgia Southern Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Georgia Southern to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.2 expected wins. Up 0.9 wins from the preseason projection. Georgia Southern makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Georgia Southern a 2% chance to win the Sun Belt outright. The model has picked 6 of 6 Georgia Southern games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Georgia Southern earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Georgia Southern. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5
vs Charleston SouthernWon31-0 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
at ClemsonLost7-22 - Week 3Sat Sep 19Lost27-31
- Week 4Sat Sep 26
vs HoustonLost28-42 - Week 5Sat Oct 3Won31-24
- Week 6Sat Oct 10Lost24-27
- Week 7Thu Oct 15
at Old DominionWon23-15 - Week 9Sat Oct 31
vs App State67% chance Georgia Southern wins - Week 10Sat Nov 7
vs Marshall90% chance Georgia Southern wins - Week 11Sat Nov 1446% chance Georgia Southern wins
- Week 12Sat Nov 21
at Troy56% chance Georgia Southern wins - Week 13Sat Nov 2860% chance Georgia Southern wins
How many games Georgia Southern wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 6-6 (36% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 5.3 in the preseason to 6.2 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.