How many games will App State win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for App State is 7.9 wins.

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Sun Belt · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

App State Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is App State's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects App State to finish 8-4 in 2026, about 7.9 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects App State to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.9 expected wins. That’s up 2.2 wins from our preseason number.

8-4

projected record

7.9 ▲2.2 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects App State to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.9 expected wins. The model gives App State a 2% chance to win the Sun Belt outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Maine	93%
Wk 2	@ East Carolina	39%
Wk 3	vs Charlotte	98%
Wk 4	@ NC State	31%
Wk 6	vs Old Dominion	76%
Wk 7	@ Coastal Carolina	82%
Wk 8	vs James Madison	32%
Wk 9	@ Georgia Southern	21%
Wk 10	vs Georgia State	94%
Wk 11	@ Marshall	74%
Wk 12	vs UL Monroe	99%
Wk 13	@ South Alabama	52%

Win-total distribution

5 wins

6 wins

11%

7 wins

23%

8 wins

30%

9 wins

22%

10 wins

11 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. App State has a 8% shot at the Sun Belt title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

App State’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

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More: Sun Belt projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

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