Louisiana Tech Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Louisiana Tech to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 8.3 expected wins. Up 1.7 wins from the preseason projection. Louisiana Tech makes the 12-team Playoff in 1% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Louisiana Tech a 29% chance to win the Sun Belt outright. The model has picked 5 of 6 Louisiana Tech games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Louisiana Tech earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Louisiana Tech. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5
vs Northwestern StateWon80-6 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
at LSULost14-45 - Week 3Sat Sep 19
at BaylorLost19-36 - Week 5Sat Oct 3
vs ArmyWon31-29 - Week 6Sat Oct 10
vs LouisianaWon32-31 - Week 7Sat Oct 17
at UL MonroeWon24-0 - Week 8Sat Oct 24
vs Old DominionWon26-0 - Week 9Sat Oct 3175% chance Louisiana Tech wins
- Week 10Sat Nov 7
at Troy62% chance Louisiana Tech wins - Week 11Sat Nov 1485% chance Louisiana Tech wins
- Week 12Sat Nov 2171% chance Louisiana Tech wins
- Week 13Sat Nov 2840% chance Louisiana Tech wins
How many games Louisiana Tech wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 8-4 (35% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 6.6 in the preseason to 8.3 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.