How many games will Temple win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Temple is 6.3 wins.

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American Athletic · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Temple Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Temple's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Temple to finish 6-6 in 2026, about 6.3 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Temple to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.3 expected wins. That’s up 0.7 wins from our preseason number.

6-6

projected record

6.3 ▲0.7 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Temple to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.3 expected wins. The model gives Temple a 0% chance to win the American Athletic outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Rhode Island	93%
Wk 2	vs Penn State	1%
Wk 3	@ Toledo	65%
Wk 4	vs Army	19%
Wk 5	@ South Florida	13%
Wk 6	vs UConn	81%
Wk 7	vs Charlotte	98%
Wk 9	@ East Carolina	56%
Wk 10	@ Navy	12%
Wk 11	vs UAB	89%
Wk 12	vs Rice	82%
Wk 13	@ Memphis	19%

Win-total distribution

3 wins

4 wins

5 wins

18%

6 wins

32%

7 wins

28%

8 wins

12%

9 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Temple has a 0% shot at the American Athletic title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Temple’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

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More: American Athletic projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

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