How many games will Miami (OH) win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Miami (OH) is 7.2 wins.

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Mid-American · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Miami (OH) Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Miami (OH)'s projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Miami (OH) to finish 7-5 in 2026, about 7.2 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Miami (OH) to finish 7-5 in 2026, with 7.2 expected wins. That’s down 1.1 wins from our preseason number.

0-1

record so far

7-5

projected record

7.2 ▼1.1 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Miami (OH) to finish 7-5 in 2026, with 7.2 expected wins. The model gives Miami (OH) a 14% chance to win the Mid-American outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of Miami (OH)’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	@ Pittsburgh	Lost 14–59 ✓
Wk 2	vs Holy Cross	93%
Wk 3	@ Cincinnati	6%
Wk 4	vs UConn	23%
Wk 5	vs Bowling Green	82%
Wk 6	@ Massachusetts	74%
Wk 7	vs Akron	97%
Wk 8	@ Central Michigan	93%
Wk 10	vs Buffalo	76%
Wk 11	vs Ohio	74%
Wk 12	@ Kent State	86%
Wk 13	@ Western Michigan	17%

Win-total distribution

4 wins

5 wins

6 wins

18%

7 wins

32%

8 wins

30%

9 wins

11%

10 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Miami (OH) has a 33% shot at the Mid-American title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Miami (OH)’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Mid-American projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.