UL Monroe Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects UL Monroe to finish 2-10 in 2026, with 2.1 expected wins. Down 0.5 wins from the preseason projection. UL Monroe makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives UL Monroe a 0% chance to win the Sun Belt outright. The model has picked 5 of 6 UL Monroe games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
UL Monroe earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for UL Monroe. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5Lost13-62
- Week 2Sat Sep 12
at UABLost20-26 - Week 3Sat Sep 19
vs SE LouisianaLost35-38 - Week 4Sat Sep 26Lost17-45
- Week 5Sat Oct 3Lost35-52
- Week 7Sat Oct 17Lost0-24
- Week 8Sat Oct 24
at TroyWon21-14 - Week 9Sat Oct 3133% chance UL Monroe wins
- Week 10Sat Nov 75% chance UL Monroe wins
- Week 11Thu Nov 12
vs Louisiana18% chance UL Monroe wins - Week 12Sat Nov 21
at App State10% chance UL Monroe wins - Week 13Sat Nov 28
vs Marshall43% chance UL Monroe wins
How many games UL Monroe wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 2-10 (44% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 2.6 in the preseason to 2.1 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.