How many games will Charlotte win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Charlotte is 1.5 wins.

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American Athletic · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Charlotte Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Charlotte's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Charlotte to finish 1-11 in 2026, about 1.5 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Charlotte to finish 1-11 in 2026, with 1.5 expected wins.

1-11

projected record

1.5 even with preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Charlotte to finish 1-11 in 2026, with 1.5 expected wins. The model gives Charlotte a 0% chance to win the American Athletic outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs The Citadel	93%
Wk 2	@ Ole Miss	0%
Wk 3	@ App State	2%
Wk 4	vs Louisiana	1%
Wk 5	vs Memphis	1%
Wk 6	@ North Texas	12%
Wk 7	@ Temple	2%
Wk 9	vs Tulane	3%
Wk 10	@ UAB	10%
Wk 11	vs East Carolina	18%
Wk 12	@ Tulsa	3%
Wk 13	vs Navy	1%

Win-total distribution

0 wins

1 wins

55%

2 wins

32%

3 wins

4 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Charlotte has a 0% shot at the American Athletic title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Charlotte’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: American Athletic projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.