How many games will Army win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Army is 9.3 wins.

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American Athletic · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Army Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Army's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Army to finish 9-3 in 2026, about 9.3 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Army to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 9.3 expected wins. That’s up 2.2 wins from our preseason number.

9-3

projected record

9.3 ▲2.2 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Army to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 9.3 expected wins. The model gives Army a 28% chance to win the American Athletic outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Bryant	93%
Wk 2	vs South Florida	73%
Wk 4	@ Temple	81%
Wk 5	@ Louisiana Tech	72%
Wk 6	vs Tulane	84%
Wk 7	vs Florida Atlantic	97%
Wk 8	@ Tulsa	44%
Wk 9	@ Memphis	52%
Wk 10	vs Air Force	73%
Wk 12	vs East Carolina	98%
Wk 13	@ Rice	90%
Wk 15	vs Navy	78%

Win-total distribution

6 wins

7 wins

8 wins

17%

9 wins

28%

10 wins

28%

11 wins

16%

12 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Army has a 54% shot at the American Athletic title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Army’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

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More: American Athletic projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

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