How many games will Tulane win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Tulane is 5.2 wins.

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American Athletic · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Tulane Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Tulane's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Tulane to finish 5-7 in 2026, about 5.2 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Tulane to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.2 expected wins. That’s down 1.9 wins from our preseason number.

0-1

record so far

5-7

projected record

5.2 ▼1.9 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Tulane to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.2 expected wins. The model gives Tulane a 0% chance to win the American Athletic outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of Tulane’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	@ Duke	Lost 3–17 ✓
Wk 2	vs South Alabama	91%
Wk 3	@ Kansas State	6%
Wk 4	vs Southern Miss	85%
Wk 6	@ Army	16%
Wk 7	vs Memphis	22%
Wk 8	vs UTSA	22%
Wk 9	@ Charlotte	97%
Wk 10	vs Tulsa	26%
Wk 11	@ Rice	46%
Wk 12	vs North Texas	79%
Wk 13	@ South Florida	26%

Win-total distribution

2 wins

3 wins

4 wins

21%

5 wins

31%

6 wins

25%

7 wins

11%

8 wins

9 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Tulane has a 0% shot at the American Athletic title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Tulane’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: American Athletic projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

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