How many games will Tulsa win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Tulsa is 7.8 wins.

Season Predictions College Football Playoff Bracket Game Predictions Track record Pricing Follow on X

American Athletic · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Tulsa Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Tulsa's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Tulsa to finish 8-4 in 2026, about 7.8 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Tulsa to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.8 expected wins. That’s up 1.3 wins from our preseason number.

1-0

record so far

8-4

projected record

7.8 ▲1.3 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Tulsa to finish 8-4 in 2026, with 7.8 expected wins. The model gives Tulsa a 3% chance to win the American Athletic outright.

Model called 0 of 1 of Tulsa’s games right so far this season.

Get a free pick every week

Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Oklahoma State	Won 24–10 ✗
Wk 2	@ Sam Houston	77%
Wk 3	vs East Texas A&M	93%
Wk 4	@ Arkansas	12%
Wk 5	vs North Texas	95%
Wk 6	@ Navy	22%
Wk 7	@ Rice	73%
Wk 8	vs Army	56%
Wk 10	@ Tulane	74%
Wk 11	vs Florida Atlantic	96%
Wk 12	vs Charlotte	97%
Wk 13	@ UTSA	17%

Win-total distribution

5 wins

6 wins

11%

7 wins

25%

8 wins

31%

9 wins

21%

10 wins

11 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Tulsa has a 10% shot at the American Athletic title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Tulsa’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

Your first week guaranteed

If your first paid week loses, the next one is on us.

Get weekly picks $9.99 per week, or $99 for the season

New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.

The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

See every graded pick

More: American Athletic projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.