How many games will Florida Atlantic win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Florida Atlantic is 4.5 wins.

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American Athletic · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Florida Atlantic Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Florida Atlantic's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Florida Atlantic to finish 5-7 in 2026, about 4.5 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Florida Atlantic to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 4.5 expected wins. That’s down 2.0 wins from our preseason number.

0-1

record so far

5-7

projected record

4.5 ▼2.0 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Florida Atlantic to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 4.5 expected wins. The model gives Florida Atlantic a 0% chance to win the American Athletic outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of Florida Atlantic’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	@ Florida	Lost 21–66 ✓
Wk 2	vs Navy	7%
Wk 3	vs Florida International	83%
Wk 4	@ UL Monroe	99%
Wk 5	vs Texas Southern	93%
Wk 7	@ Army	3%
Wk 8	vs Rice	69%
Wk 9	@ North Texas	23%
Wk 10	vs UTSA	1%
Wk 11	@ Tulsa	4%
Wk 12	vs South Florida	29%
Wk 13	@ East Carolina	39%

Win-total distribution

2 wins

3 wins

14%

4 wins

34%

5 wins

32%

6 wins

14%

7 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Florida Atlantic has a 0% shot at the American Athletic title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Florida Atlantic’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: American Athletic projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.