How many games will BYU win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for BYU is 9.6 wins.

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Big 12 · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

BYU Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is BYU's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects BYU to finish 10-2 in 2026, about 9.6 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects BYU to finish 10-2 in 2026, with 9.6 expected wins. That’s up 0.7 wins from our preseason number.

10-2

projected record

9.6 ▲0.7 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects BYU to finish 10-2 in 2026, with 9.6 expected wins. The model gives BYU a 35% chance to win the Big 12 outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Utah Tech	93%
Wk 2	vs Arizona	78%
Wk 3	@ Colorado State	97%
Wk 5	@ TCU	95%
Wk 6	vs Iowa State	90%
Wk 7	vs Notre Dame	16%
Wk 8	@ UCF	86%
Wk 9	vs Arizona State	90%
Wk 10	@ Utah	43%
Wk 11	vs Baylor	84%
Wk 12	@ Kansas	90%
Wk 13	vs Cincinnati	94%

Win-total distribution

6 wins

7 wins

8 wins

12%

9 wins

28%

10 wins

35%

11 wins

18%

12 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. BYU has a 68% shot at the Big 12 title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

BYU’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Big 12 projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.