How many games will Iowa State win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Iowa State is 6.0 wins.

Season Predictions College Football Playoff Bracket Game Predictions Track record Pricing Follow on X

Big 12 · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Iowa State Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Iowa State's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Iowa State to finish 6-6 in 2026, about 6.0 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Iowa State to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.0 expected wins. That’s up 1.2 wins from our preseason number.

6-6

projected record

6.0 ▲1.2 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Iowa State to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 6.0 expected wins. The model gives Iowa State a 0% chance to win the Big 12 outright.

Get a free pick every week

Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Southeast Missouri State	93%
Wk 2	@ Iowa	10%
Wk 3	vs Bowling Green	96%
Wk 4	vs Utah	19%
Wk 5	vs West Virginia	94%
Wk 6	@ BYU	10%
Wk 8	@ Arizona	19%
Wk 9	vs Oklahoma State	88%
Wk 10	@ Baylor	38%
Wk 11	vs Cincinnati	72%
Wk 12	@ UCF	53%
Wk 13	vs Kansas State	10%

Win-total distribution

3 wins

4 wins

5 wins

24%

6 wins

32%

7 wins

23%

8 wins

9 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Iowa State has a 0% shot at the Big 12 title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Iowa State’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

Your first week guaranteed

If your first paid week loses, the next one is on us.

Get weekly picks $9.99 per week, or $99 for the season

New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.

The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

See every graded pick

More: Big 12 projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.