How many games will Utah win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Utah is 8.6 wins.

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Big 12 · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Utah Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Utah's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Utah to finish 9-3 in 2026, about 8.6 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Utah to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 8.6 expected wins. That’s down 0.4 wins from our preseason number.

9-3

projected record

8.6 ▼0.4 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Utah to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 8.6 expected wins. The model gives Utah a 2% chance to win the Big 12 outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Idaho	93%
Wk 2	vs Arkansas	83%
Wk 3	vs Utah State	94%
Wk 4	@ Iowa State	81%
Wk 6	vs Kansas	63%
Wk 7	@ Colorado	80%
Wk 8	vs Houston	76%
Wk 9	@ Cincinnati	55%
Wk 10	vs BYU	57%
Wk 11	@ Arizona	15%
Wk 12	@ TCU	69%
Wk 13	vs West Virginia	94%

Win-total distribution

5 wins

6 wins

7 wins

14%

8 wins

25%

9 wins

28%

10 wins

19%

11 wins

12 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Utah has a 6% shot at the Big 12 title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Utah’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Big 12 projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.