How many games will Arizona win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Arizona is 8.5 wins.

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Big 12 · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Arizona Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Arizona's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Arizona to finish 9-3 in 2026, about 8.5 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Arizona to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 8.5 expected wins. That’s up 0.7 wins from our preseason number.

9-3

projected record

8.5 ▲0.7 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Arizona to finish 9-3 in 2026, with 8.5 expected wins. The model gives Arizona a 1% chance to win the Big 12 outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Northern Arizona	93%
Wk 2	@ BYU	22%
Wk 3	vs Northern Illinois	96%
Wk 4	@ Washington State	88%
Wk 5	vs Cincinnati	86%
Wk 6	@ West Virginia	95%
Wk 8	vs Iowa State	81%
Wk 9	@ Texas Tech	13%
Wk 10	vs TCU	84%
Wk 11	vs Utah	85%
Wk 12	@ Kansas State	29%
Wk 13	vs Arizona State	82%

Win-total distribution

5 wins

6 wins

7 wins

14%

8 wins

29%

9 wins

33%

10 wins

17%

11 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Arizona has a 4% shot at the Big 12 title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Arizona’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Big 12 projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.