How many games will Louisiana win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Louisiana is 9.6 wins.

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Sun Belt · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Louisiana Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Louisiana's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Louisiana to finish 10-2 in 2026, about 9.6 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Louisiana to finish 10-2 in 2026, with 9.6 expected wins. That’s up 2.2 wins from our preseason number.

10-2

projected record

9.6 ▲2.2 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Louisiana to finish 10-2 in 2026, with 9.6 expected wins. The model gives Louisiana a 36% chance to win the Sun Belt outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Lamar	93%
Wk 2	@ USC	10%
Wk 3	vs UAB	96%
Wk 4	@ Charlotte	99%
Wk 5	vs Arkansas State	97%
Wk 6	@ Louisiana Tech	34%
Wk 7	vs Troy	84%
Wk 8	@ Southern Miss	85%
Wk 10	vs South Alabama	84%
Wk 11	@ UL Monroe	98%
Wk 12	vs Coastal Carolina	86%
Wk 13	@ Georgia State	92%

Win-total distribution

7 wins

8 wins

11%

9 wins

29%

10 wins

39%

11 wins

16%

12 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Louisiana has a 76% shot at the Sun Belt title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Louisiana’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Sun Belt projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.