Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Bowling Green to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.0 expected wins. That’s down 0.4 wins from our preseason number.
Our statistical model projects Bowling Green to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.0 expected wins. The model gives Bowling Green a 0% chance to win the Mid-American outright.
Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.
| Week | Opponent | Result / win prob |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Tarleton State | 93% |
| Wk 2 | @ Nebraska | 5% |
| Wk 3 | @ Iowa State | 4% |
| Wk 4 | vs South Florida | 30% |
| Wk 5 | @ Miami (OH) | 18% |
| Wk 6 | vs Sacramento State | 76% |
| Wk 7 | vs Ball State | 84% |
| Wk 8 | @ Buffalo | 3% |
| Wk 9 | @ Western Michigan | 14% |
| Wk 11 | vs Kent State | 71% |
| Wk 12 | @ Toledo | 13% |
| Wk 13 | vs Massachusetts | 88% |
Everything above is the free model. Bowling Green has a 0% shot at the Mid-American title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.
Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC