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Mid-American · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Bowling Green Football 2026 Season Prediction

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Bowling Green to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.0 expected wins. That’s down 0.4 wins from our preseason number.

5-7
projected record
5.0 ▼0.4 vs preseason
win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Bowling Green to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.0 expected wins. The model gives Bowling Green a 0% chance to win the Mid-American outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

WeekOpponentResult / win prob
Wk 1vs Tarleton State93%
Wk 2@ Nebraska5%
Wk 3@ Iowa State4%
Wk 4vs South Florida30%
Wk 5@ Miami (OH)18%
Wk 6vs Sacramento State76%
Wk 7vs Ball State84%
Wk 8@ Buffalo3%
Wk 9@ Western Michigan14%
Wk 11vs Kent State71%
Wk 12@ Toledo13%
Wk 13vs Massachusetts88%

Win-total distribution

2 wins
1%
3 wins
8%
4 wins
23%
5 wins
34%
6 wins
23%
7 wins
8%
8 wins
1%

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Bowling Green has a 0% shot at the Mid-American title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks
Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.
The full interactive projections
Bowling Green’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.
Full prediction exports
Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.
Your first week guaranteed
If your first paid week loses, the next one is on us.
Get weekly picks $9.99 per week, or $99 for the season

New members’ first week is 99¢ — and the first losing week’s on us. 2026 picks verified on Juice Reel.

The record you’re buying into
53–21
ATS since Week 8, 2025
71.6% on the filtered picks

More: Mid-American projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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