What is LSU's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects LSU to finish 10-2 in 2026, about 10.3 expected wins.

How many games will LSU win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for LSU is 10.3 wins.

Does LSU make the 2026 College Football Playoff?

The model projects LSU into the 12-team Playoff as a 4-seed.

Backdoor Cover

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SEC · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

LSU Football 2026 Season Prediction

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects LSU to finish 10-2 in 2026, with 10.3 expected wins. That’s up 2.0 wins from our preseason number.

1-0

record so far

10-2

projected record

10.3 ▲2.0 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects LSU to finish 10-2 in 2026, with 10.3 expected wins. The model gives LSU a 20% chance to win the SEC outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of LSU’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Clemson	Won 51–10 ✓
Wk 2	vs Louisiana Tech	94%
Wk 3	@ Ole Miss	96%
Wk 4	vs Texas A&M	79%
Wk 5	vs McNeese	93%
Wk 6	@ Kentucky	94%
Wk 7	vs Mississippi State	85%
Wk 8	@ Auburn	89%
Wk 10	vs Alabama	79%
Wk 11	vs Texas	70%
Wk 12	@ Tennessee	58%
Wk 13	@ Arkansas	94%

Win-total distribution

7 wins

8 wins

9 wins

17%

10 wins

31%

11 wins

32%

12 wins

14%

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. The model slots LSU into the 12-team Playoff as a 4-seed. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

LSU’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: SEC projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.