Backdoor Cover’s model projects Georgia to win the SEC in 2026, at 58% to take the league.
The model's projected SEC champion is Georgia (58% to win the league). Projected College Football Playoff team(s): Georgia, LSU, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Texas.
▲/▼ next to the title odds = change (in points) vs. our preseason projection.
| # | Team | Proj. record | Win conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | 11-1 | 58% ▼10 |
| 2 | LSU | 10-2 | 20% ▲14 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | 9-3 | 11% ▲10 |
| 4 | Texas A&M | 9-3 | 5% ▼2 |
| 5 | Tennessee | 9-3 | 2% |
| 6 | Texas | 9-3 | 4% ▼9 |
| 7 | Alabama | 8-4 | 0% |
| 8 | Florida | 8-4 | 0% |
| 9 | South Carolina | 7-5 | 0% |
| 10 | Vanderbilt | 6-6 | 0% |
| 11 | Missouri | 6-6 | 0% |
| 12 | Ole Miss | 5-7 | 0% |
| 13 | Mississippi State | 5-7 | 0% |
| 14 | Auburn | 5-7 | 0% |
| 15 | Kentucky | 4-8 | 0% |
| 16 | Arkansas | 3-9 | 0% |
Everything above is the free model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
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Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC