Texas A&M Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Texas A&M to finish 6-6 in 2026, with 5.7 expected wins. Down 3.1 wins from the preseason projection. Texas A&M makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Texas A&M a 0% chance to win the SEC outright. The model has picked 6 of 7 Texas A&M games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Texas A&M earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Texas A&M. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5Won50-0
- Week 2Sat Sep 12Won48-20
- Week 3Sat Sep 19
vs KentuckyLost21-31 - Week 4Sat Sep 26
at LSULost6-35 - Week 5Sat Oct 3
vs ArkansasWon34-7 - Week 6Sat Oct 10
at MissouriLost6-27 - Week 7Sat Oct 17
vs The CitadelWon41-0 - Week 8Sat Oct 24
at AlabamaLost20-31 - Week 10Sat Nov 743% chance Texas A&M wins
- Week 11Sat Nov 14
vs Tennessee60% chance Texas A&M wins - Week 12Sat Nov 21
at Oklahoma37% chance Texas A&M wins - Week 13Fri Nov 27
vs Texas31% chance Texas A&M wins
How many games Texas A&M wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 6-6 (37% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 8.8 in the preseason to 5.7 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.