Backdoor Cover’s model projects Western Michigan to win the Mid-American in 2026, at 40% to take the league.
The model's projected Mid-American champion is Western Michigan (40% to win the league). No projected Playoff team from this conference yet.
▲/▼ next to the title odds = change (in points) vs. our preseason projection.
| # | Team | Proj. record | Win conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Michigan | 8-4 | 40% ▲9 |
| 2 | Toledo | 8-4 | 32% ▲14 |
| 3 | Buffalo | 8-4 | 11% ▲10 |
| 4 | Miami (OH) | 7-5 | 14% ▼24 |
| 5 | Ohio | 6-6 | 2% ▼8 |
| 6 | Eastern Michigan | 6-6 | 0% |
| 7 | Sacramento State | 6-6 | 0% |
| 8 | Bowling Green | 5-7 | 0% |
| 9 | Central Michigan | 4-8 | 0% |
| 10 | Massachusetts | 4-8 | 0% |
| 11 | Kent State | 3-9 | 0% |
| 12 | Akron | 3-9 | 0% |
| 13 | Ball State | 2-10 | 0% |
Everything above is the free model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.
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Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Backdoor Cover LLC