Akron Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Akron to finish 2-10 in 2026, with 2.0 expected wins. Down 1.4 wins from the preseason projection. Akron makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Akron a 0% chance to win the Mid-American outright. The model has picked 5 of 7 Akron games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Akron earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Akron. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Thu Sep 3
at Wake ForestLost16-38 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
vs Robert MorrisWon45-10 - Week 3Sat Sep 19
at MinnesotaLost7-41 - Week 4Sat Sep 26
vs UNLVLost10-38 - Week 5Sat Oct 3Lost17-41
- Week 6Sat Oct 10Lost23-25
- Week 7Sat Oct 17
at Miami (OH)Lost14-34 - Week 8Sat Oct 24
at Kent StateLost20-35 - Week 10Tue Nov 3
vs Ohio12% chance Akron wins - Week 11Tue Nov 1017% chance Akron wins
- Week 12Wed Nov 1836% chance Akron wins
- Week 13Fri Nov 27
vs Buffalo37% chance Akron wins
How many games Akron wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 2-10 (44% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 3.4 in the preseason to 2.0 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.