Kent State Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Kent State to finish 4-8 in 2026, with 4.3 expected wins. Up 0.3 wins from the preseason projection. Kent State makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Kent State a 0% chance to win the Mid-American outright. The model has picked 5 of 7 Kent State games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Kent State earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Kent State. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5Lost0-57
- Week 2Sat Sep 12
vs WoffordWon36-15 - Week 3Sat Sep 19
at Ohio StateLost3-59 - Week 4Sat Sep 26
vs Ball StateWon26-13 - Week 5Sat Oct 3
vs OhioLost10-13 - Week 6Sat Oct 10Lost7-38
- Week 7Sat Oct 17Lost2-29
- Week 8Sat Oct 24
vs AkronWon35-20 - Week 9Fri Oct 3035% chance Kent State wins
- Week 11Tue Nov 1036% chance Kent State wins
- Week 12Tue Nov 17
vs Miami (OH)27% chance Kent State wins - Week 13Tue Nov 2434% chance Kent State wins
How many games Kent State wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 4-8 (40% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 4.0 in the preseason to 4.3 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.