Central Michigan Football 2026 Season Prediction
Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Central Michigan to finish 5-7 in 2026, with 5.0 expected wins. Down 0.7 wins from the preseason projection. Central Michigan makes the 12-team Playoff in 0% of my simulated seasons.
The model gives Central Michigan a 0% chance to win the Mid-American outright. The model has picked 6 of 7 Central Michigan games correctly this season.
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Path to the title
Central Michigan earns a first-round bye in 0% of simulations.
Game by game
Upcoming games show my model’s win probability for Central Michigan. Played games show the result.
- Week 1Sat Sep 5
at New MexicoLost7-38 - Week 2Sat Sep 12
vs ColgateWon13-10 - Week 3Sat Sep 19
vs WyomingWon24-10 - Week 4Sat Sep 26
at MiamiLost3-52 - Week 5Sat Oct 3
vs AkronWon41-17 - Week 6Sat Oct 10
at OhioLost14-31 - Week 7Sat Oct 17Lost14-21
- Week 8Sat Oct 24
vs Miami (OH)Lost27-28 - Week 10Wed Nov 4
54% chance Central Michigan wins - Week 11Wed Nov 1167% chance Central Michigan wins
- Week 12Wed Nov 18
at Buffalo41% chance Central Michigan wins - Week 13Sat Nov 28
at Ball State38% chance Central Michigan wins
How many games Central Michigan wins
Share of 4,000 simulated seasons ending on each regular-season win total.
Most likely: 5-7 (39% of simulations). Regular season, 12 games.
Expected wins since the preseason
From 5.7 in the preseason to 5.0 now.
How the model is doing. 232–205–7 against the spread (53.1%), 156–131 on totals (54.4%) and 317–127 straight up (71.4%) on every game this season, graded at DraftKings’ closing line.
Backdoor Cover Picks
Most weeks I bet a handful of the games I project. Those bets are Backdoor Cover Picks, and each one comes with a recommended unit size.
My track record is on the Track Record page.