How many games will Purdue win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Purdue is 3.7 wins.

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Big Ten · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Purdue Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Purdue's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Purdue to finish 4-8 in 2026, about 3.7 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Purdue to finish 4-8 in 2026, with 3.7 expected wins. That’s up 0.8 wins from our preseason number.

4-8

projected record

3.7 ▲0.8 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Purdue to finish 4-8 in 2026, with 3.7 expected wins. The model gives Purdue a 0% chance to win the Big Ten outright.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	vs Indiana State	93%
Wk 2	vs Wake Forest	81%
Wk 3	@ UCLA	12%
Wk 4	vs Notre Dame	5%
Wk 5	@ Illinois	14%
Wk 6	vs Minnesota	24%
Wk 7	vs Washington	9%
Wk 9	@ Penn State	6%
Wk 10	vs Maryland	18%
Wk 11	@ Iowa	7%
Wk 12	vs Wisconsin	86%
Wk 13	@ Indiana	15%

Win-total distribution

1 wins

2 wins

11%

3 wins

33%

4 wins

33%

5 wins

16%

6 wins

7 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Purdue has a 0% shot at the Big Ten title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Purdue’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

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More: Big Ten projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

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