How many games will Wisconsin win in 2026?

The model's expected win total for Wisconsin is 3.3 wins.

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Big Ten · 2026 outlook · updated Sep 8, 2026

Wisconsin Football 2026 Season Prediction

Q: What is Wisconsin's projected record for 2026?

Backdoor Cover's statistical model projects Wisconsin to finish 3-9 in 2026, about 3.3 expected wins.

Backdoor Cover’s college football model projects Wisconsin to finish 3-9 in 2026, with 3.3 expected wins. That’s down 2.3 wins from our preseason number.

0-1

record so far

3-9

projected record

3.3 ▼2.3 vs preseason

win total (expected wins)

Our statistical model projects Wisconsin to finish 3-9 in 2026, with 3.3 expected wins. The model gives Wisconsin a 0% chance to win the Big Ten outright.

Model called 1 of 1 of Wisconsin’s games right so far this season.

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Game-by-game

Played games show the result and whether the model called it (✓/✗). Upcoming games show win probability.

Week	Opponent	Result / win prob
Wk 1	@ Notre Dame	Lost 13–41 ✓
Wk 2	vs Western Illinois	93%
Wk 3	vs Eastern Michigan	92%
Wk 4	@ Penn State	0%
Wk 5	vs Michigan State	53%
Wk 7	@ UCLA	2%
Wk 8	vs USC	7%
Wk 9	@ Iowa	0%
Wk 10	vs Rutgers	56%
Wk 11	@ Maryland	2%
Wk 12	@ Purdue	14%
Wk 13	vs Minnesota	6%

Win-total distribution

1 wins

2 wins

19%

3 wins

40%

4 wins

30%

5 wins

6 wins

What subscribers get

Everything above is the free model. Wisconsin has a 0% shot at the Big Ten title game in the model. Subscribers get the full picture — and the picks we actually bet.

This week’s picks

Our actual bet card — every spread and underdog, with the unit size we’re using.

The full interactive projections

Wisconsin’s conference title odds, the projected 12-team playoff bracket, and week-by-week movement.

Full prediction exports

Every game’s projected spread and win probability, downloadable as a CSV.

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The record you’re buying into

53–21

ATS since Week 8, 2025

71.6% on the filtered picks

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More: Big Ten projections · all 2026 team predictions · this week’s games · track record

Projections are model output for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. You must be 21 or older, or the legal age where you are. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.